Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.036999 0.039929 0.043003 0.046472 0.050285 0.054354 0.059034
2025-04-27 0.032629 0.036821 0.041463 0.047003 0.053463 0.060787 0.069765
2025-05-04 0.029272 0.034141 0.039752 0.046737 0.055260 0.065395 0.078469
2025-05-11 0.026832 0.032131 0.038437 0.046564 0.056859 0.069599 0.086767
2025-05-18 0.024854 0.030427 0.037242 0.046285 0.058118 0.073278 0.094509
2025-05-25 0.023295 0.029075 0.036313 0.046172 0.059451 0.077009 0.102482
2025-06-01 0.021737 0.027586 0.035064 0.045484 0.059883 0.079462 0.108785
2025-06-08 0.020307 0.026154 0.033769 0.044598 0.059911 0.081273 0.114217
2025-06-15 0.019204 0.025078 0.032863 0.044150 0.060466 0.083793 0.120807
2025-06-22 0.018234 0.024119 0.032044 0.043743 0.061008 0.086275 0.127473
2025-06-29 0.017217 0.023035 0.030982 0.042905 0.060832 0.087628 0.132423
2025-07-06 0.016705 0.022624 0.030833 0.043366 0.062596 0.092011 0.142555
2025-07-13 0.016068 0.022009 0.030367 0.043337 0.063623 0.095343 0.151302
2025-07-20 0.015640 0.021670 0.030280 0.043868 0.065543 0.100218 0.163111
2025-07-27 0.015033 0.021038 0.029723 0.043632 0.066211 0.103073 0.171612
2025-08-03 0.014491 0.020477 0.029240 0.043475 0.066979 0.106122 0.180711
2025-08-10 0.013963 0.019910 0.028718 0.043219 0.067552 0.108855 0.189443
2025-08-17 0.013508 0.019433 0.028307 0.043115 0.068360 0.112035 0.199296
2025-08-24 0.012958 0.018785 0.027601 0.042482 0.068214 0.113485 0.205875
2025-08-31 0.012399 0.018102 0.026809 0.041665 0.067692 0.114201 0.211022
2025-09-07 0.011964 0.017596 0.026276 0.041253 0.067851 0.116172 0.218907
2025-09-14 0.011563 0.017127 0.025781 0.040877 0.068048 0.118214 0.227116
2025-09-21 0.011100 0.016543 0.025077 0.040105 0.067471 0.118724 0.232057